PIMCO GIS Income E EUR Hedged Acc

Analyst Report
Morningstar's Take
|15/05/2023

by Eric Jacobson
Through thick and thin, the Pimco Income strategy has delivered in nearly every case.

Pimco veterans Dan Ivascyn and Alfred Murata, who are past Morningstar Managers of the Year, and Joshua Anderson have leveraged the firm's robust ‎mix of macro research and bottom-up analysis to focus on generating consistent payouts in addition to ‎performance. Some modesty during relatively strong markets from 2019 to 2021 for other funds with broad mandates left this one’s more recent trailing returns muted going into the 2022 bear market, but the team made up for that. The strategy's U.S. institutional vehicle endured some pain in early 2022 having carried a 2%-3% combination of bond and currency exposures to Russia going into the year. But overall caution and a well-below-average duration helped it fare ‎better than most multisector bond Morningstar Category peers in the face of rising global bond yields. It entered 2022 with a 1.15-year duration, much of it coming from a 5.5% exposure to inflation-‎indexed bonds. The strategy's 7.8% loss on its institutional shares, while still steep, ‎left it well ahead of most rivals and ‎broad-market benchmarks, such as the Morningstar Core Plus Bond Index, which fell 12.9% over calendar-year 2022.

Although not helpful since the beginning of 2022, the strategy has historically leaned on debt ‎backed by residential mortgages. Other than that year and 2020, when the ‎coronavirus selloff sapped liquidity, the strategy's nonagency residential mortgages made ‎positive contributions in every calendar year since the beginning of 2012. Market supply of ‎legacy nonagency mortgage securities issued before the global financial crisis has shriveled, but Pimco ‎still likes the sector overall. In the past, we've raised concerns about the team's reliance on the shrinking sector combined with strong inflows. The strategy has stabilized at roughly $210 billion ‎across vehicles, though, alleviating some concerns. While the sector's overall exposure is down from a recent ‎high of 41% at the end of 2018, the strategy’s 31% stake at the end of March 2022 was still roughly the ‎same size as five years ago. ‎

In part that's thanks to a combination of market clout and the breadth of Pimco’s asset base: The firm ‎has acquired massive chunks of nonagency mortgage debt—including reperforming loans ‎sold off by government agencies—even as the legacy securitized market has shrunk. The allocations in ‎this portfolio mainly comprise a mix of legacy and reperforming loans; the team has avoided newer, ‎untested subsectors and subordinated tranches.‎

It's not clear how plentiful attractive newer nonagency supply will be moving forward. ‎Pimco remains confident, however, that the strategy can perform well with or without big ‎contributions from the sector, given the rest of the large, global opportunity set available to this ‎multisector offering. Nonagencies have been a cornerstone of this strategy’s success and stability, ‎though, so even if performance remains competitively strong, investors may have to temper expectations if the sector eventually becomes less ‎accessible.‎

 
Morningstar Medalist Rating™This offering continues to deliver.
To find out how Morningstar rates a fund click here.
Morningstar Pillars
PeopleHigh
ParentAbove Average
ProcessAbove Average
 
Morningstar Medalist RatingMorningstar assigns the Medalist Rating to funds that are qualitatively and quantitatively assessed through manager research and algorithmic processes. The assessment turns on three key “pillars” – People, Process, and Parent – that yield an estimate of how well a fund will perform before fees but after adjusting for risk.
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